๐น
equity valuationintermediate30 min
Stock Valuation Methods
Compare DDM, DCF, and relative valuation approaches for estimating a stock's intrinsic value.
What You'll Learn
- โApply the Gordon Growth Model
- โBuild a basic DCF
- โUse P/E and EV/EBITDA for sanity checks
1. Dividend Discount Model
Value = D1 / (r - g). Works for mature, stable dividend payers. Multi-stage DDM handles changing growth rates.
Key Points
- โขUse D1, not D0
- โขg must be less than r
- โขMulti-stage for high-growth transitioning to stable
2. Discounted Cash Flow
Forecast FCFF for 5-10 years, estimate terminal value, discount everything at WACC.
Key Points
- โขFCFF for enterprise value, FCFE for equity value
- โขTerminal value is often 60-80% of total
- โขSensitivity-test growth and WACC assumptions
3. Relative Valuation
Compare P/E, EV/EBITDA, or P/B to peer companies. Quick but depends on peer selection.
Key Points
- โขChoose peers with similar growth and risk
- โขTrailing vs forward multiples matter
- โขMultiples reflect market sentiment, not just fundamentals
Key Takeaways
- โ DCF is the gold standard but sensitive to assumptions
- โ Relative valuation is faster but less fundamental
- โ Always cross-check with at least two methods
Practice Questions
1. Stock pays $2 dividend, grows at 3%, required return 9%. What is the value?
D1 = $2.06. P = 2.06 / (0.09 - 0.03) = $34.33.
2. Sector P/E average is 20x. Company EPS = $5. What is the implied price?
$100 per share.
FAQs
Common questions about this topic
It depends on the company. DCF for any company with forecastable cash flows. DDM for dividend payers. Multiples for quick comparisons.
Related Study Guides
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